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Vance Rally in Topeka: Focus on Republican Turnout

Vice President JD Vance will speak at a steel fabrication business in Topeka on Monday to support Sen. Roger Marshall, with political experts citing base motivation as the primary goal.

By Samir Doyle ·

Illustration for: Vance Rally in Topeka: Focus on Republican Turnout
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Vice President JD Vance will hold a campaign rally in Topeka on Monday to support Sen. Roger Marshall, R-Kan., in a closely watched Senate race.

The event marks Vance’s second trip to Kansas in the past two months. He will address the crowd at a steel fabrication business, a venue selected by the Republican National Convention. This visit follows President Donald Trump’s stop in Park City just one week prior.

The contest has remained tighter than usual in a state that has historically favored Republicans. Michael Smith, a political science professor at Emporia State University, notes that the proximity of the two national figures is driving the current strategy. Smith argues that Trump remains the most popular figure within the party, so bringing Vance in allows the campaign to leverage that recognition to motivate supporters.

Smith stated, “They’re hoping that some of that Trump magic will rub off on Vance.” He believes the race is now focused on energizing the base rather than persuading undecided voters. With early voting already underway and Election Day approaching, Smith said, “We’re past persuasion at this point.. there is no time left to persuade.”

The professor points out that midterm turnout is typically low, but Republicans face specific challenges this year. He cited Trump’s policies, particularly tariffs and the war in Iran, as factors that may alienate some voters. Smith said, “Trump’s policies are not popular with independents and undecideds, anyway. In fact, Trump’s policies are not even that popular with Republicans in some cases.”

Despite these policy concerns, Smith believes Trump retains strong support among the party base. Vance has adopted a similar rhetorical style, focusing on attacking the opposition. Smith expects Vance to target Democratic candidate Adam Hamilton, aiming to mobilize voters who oppose the current direction of the country due to inflation, tariffs, and the conflict in Iran.

Doors for the Topeka rally will open at 2 p.m. on Monday. The program is scheduled to begin at 4 p.m., with Vance expected to take the stage at 5:15 p.m.

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